Thursday, October 8, 2009

Flaunting A Legal Claim As Genuine As This Photo

In one of the early posts on this blog, I expressed my frustration with bogus legal claims, which is just the tip of the iceberg when it comes to my exasperation with our country's legal system. A little background here: for most people, sitting down at a table full of lawyers is their idea of a nightmare, for me it is a typical Thanksgiving. Nevertheless, they are proud that I was one of the first in my family not to attend law school.

Back to the picture. A blog called PhotoShop Disasters posted the above image with the comment, "Dude, her head's bigger than her pelvis". I learned from this article at the great blog Techdirt that Ralph Lauren's lawyers issued a legal notice called a "DMCA takedown" against the blog. DMCA is the "Digital Millennium Copyright Act", a hideous piece of legislation that, among other things, requires ISPs to remove any content that someone accuses of being infringing of their copyright.

Of course, this commentary is clearly Fair Use, which is exempt from copyright by both common law and the 1976 Copyright Act. Fair Use exemptions include reproductions for the purpose of criticism and commentary, as was the purpose of the original post, as well as the one you are reading now.

Here is the copy of the notice that Ralph Lauren's attorney sent to another site that reproduced the image as I am doing in the post.

The brilliant lawyer who signed this bogus threat, G. Roxanne Elings of the law firm Greenburg Traurig should probably be fired and/or disbarred.

This nonsense threat is an abuse of the legal system and is, of course, bringing tons of attention to this otherwise obscure blog, against the supposed interests of their client, Ralph Lauren. Note to Ms. Elings, this is known as the Streisand Effect.

On the other hand, I would think that their client would want people to see their advertisements, right? Isn't that the purpose of an ad? Maybe she is craze like a fox? Probably not, as the original blog post was taken down by the ISP, in unfortunate compliance with the bogus threat.

Here's hoping Steele Street also gets a takedown notice from Ralph Lauren.

I would be honored.

Monday, October 5, 2009

Shomlypics Update


Chicago lost it's bid for the 2016 Olympics. Initially, I was disappointed. Not because I really care if they got the games, but because some people in Denver indicated that they wanted to bid the 2018 winter Olympics if Chicago lost.

That horrified me. The Olympics is a corrupt, greed infested, commercialized fiasco/extravaganza traveling circus with major corporations acting as the "carnies". I am proud to live in Denver, the only city that was ever awarded the Olympics, but turned it down.

Denver was to host the 1976 winter Olympics, but the voters wisely cut off funding in a 1972 election. The Olympics then went to Innsbruck Austria, which had just hosted the games in 1964.

Fortunately for us, the US Olympic committee has decided not to submit a bid for the 2018 games, so Denver is safe from the international Olympic cronies until at least 2022.

Good riddance.

Monday, September 14, 2009

Delta Does The Right Thing, Eventually...

Looking forward to my next "Falafel Run" to Israel this winter, I ran into a few problems with Delta's schedule changes.

Read all about it and how I was able to resolve the situation over at AskMrCreditCard.

Monday, August 31, 2009

A Look Back....

A year ago the world found out who Sarah Palin was. In case you already forgot, she is the former governor of Alaska who McCain felt was the most qualified person in the country to be President, other than himself.

This is a good time to review my observations about McCain's choice.

Good Luck!

McCain Hands Obama The Election

She Has No Clue

In retrospect, I think she exceeded my minuscule expectations for her speech to the RNC, and in her debate with Biden, however, she was far worse than I ever imagined throughout the campaign. In fact, I don't think she bothered to hold a single press conference!

Her divisive nature coupled with her disastrous lack of any policy background was the final nail in the coffin of the McCain campaign, and ultimately led to her resignation.

Two years ago, she didn't even have a passport. A year ago she was the Republican nominee for Vice President. Today, she is an unemployed housewife. Good riddance.

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Jimmy Carter Gets Funnier

Jimmy Carter, who is already the perpetual butt of jokes on The Simpsons gets funnier with each new work of fiction that he writes.

Here is a quote from an article in the Jerusalem Post about his latest book:

Carter goes on to describe Binyamin Netanyahu as a "key political associate and naysayer" who was strongly opposed to Israel relinquishing control over the Sinai.

It appears that Jimmy Carter is revising history. The Binyamin Netanyahu I know was attending college during the Camp David meetings in the late 1970s. In fact, when I recommended him to Begin for a government job, the prime minister did not even know who Netanyahu was. I have no idea how Carter was so aware of Binyamin Netanyahu's political ideology; he was selling furniture at the time to help fund his schooling. (emphasis mine).

This is just one example of Carter just making stuff up. What a buffoon.

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Peak Oil?

There are two articles in the New York Times today that mention Peak Oil.

One article, is about supply, and the technical debate as to whether or not the worldwide annual production of oil has peaked, as it has in many individual countries such as the United States.

The other article mentions a different kind of peak oil, peak consumption. This article is about how upset the Saudis are that oil consumption in the United States has peaked. The price shocks of the last few years is the largest contributor, but our election of a president who has made a commitment to reducing consumption over the long term has is terrifying them; "the Saudis know that any attempt to reduce gasoline consumption is a threat to the future of the Saudi economy."

This really isn't all that complicated. We produce 7% of the world's oil, while consuming 24%. Simple economics say that we can have a lot more influence on price of oil by managing our demand rather than our production.

In the election last year, you had a candidate who's party was promoting increasing supply ("drill baby drill!") vs. a candidate focusing on reducing consumption. You would think that all of the business people and free market advocates in the Republican Party understand these basic facts, but they are so co-opted by big oil that they are literally being paid not to.

Since the election, the winner has actually been focusing on long term consumption reduction, and the Saudi's are scared shitless. They are now worried about peak oil consumption more than we are about peak oil production. With 230 mpg hybrids and pure electrics on sale next year, they should be.

One final quote from the second article: "the former Saudi oil minister, Sheik Yamani, once said that the stone age didn’t end because the world ran out of stones, and the oil age will not end because the world runs out of oil. It will end when something replaces it."

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

A380 at Oshkosh

The Airbus A380 is, by far, the largest commercial passenger airplane in the world. Unless you visit London, Dubai, Sydney, Singapore, L.A. or a few other cities, you probably are not going to see one anytime soon.

At the Oshkosh Airventure air show last month, I was fortunate enough not only to see the giant bird, but to witness an aerial demonstration. The demonstration culminated with a particularly interesting landing, to say the least.

The following is a video of the landing:



A critique of the landing can be found here (just fast forward through the 30 second commercial at the start).

Below is my photo of the aircraft right before landing. Note that the aircraft is actually landing to the left side of the picture, even though it is pointing to the right side of the frame. That is how much it was crabbed into the wind.

Finally, here are some shots of the demonstration and the aircraft taxiing past me.




Monday, August 17, 2009

So You Want to Boycott Israel?


This is a great video, if not for it's political messages, than for it's many references to my favorite TV show, House (and the only medial drama on TV where some of the doctors are actually Jewish).

Snowstorm In Denver in August! *


Ok, it wasn't a snowstorm, just some flurries, and it wasn't in Denver, but up around 12,000 feet of elevation in Rocky Mountain National Park. It was August 16th, and I personally witnessed the snow!

Sorry for the misleading, but cool photo of Denver International Airport after an actual blizzard.

Friday, August 14, 2009

Southwest Fail

The aviation experts were wrong, Southwest failed to purchase Frontier. I suppose that is good for the Frontier people, who will not be assimilated into the Southwest collective.

I still predict that Southwest will announce service to Atlanta later this year, potentially by bidding to acquire AirTran.

Thursday, August 13, 2009

The Conservative Case For Health Care Reform

I am truly having a hard time figuring out why Republicans and so called conservatives (definitely not all part of the same group these days) are opposing nearly all health insurance reform measures, often with couterfactual and contradictory arguments.

It seems that there are a lot of good reasons a Conservative would support some radical reform to our health care system.

1. The current system is a massive disincentive to start a company. Look at this chart. For all of our entrepreneurial culture, we have a pretty low self employment rate. Before you start a company, just try getting a few quotes for health insurance from the private market, and you will see why it is nearly impossible for all but the young, healthy, and rich.

2. The current system is a huge disincentive to have children. Talk about a 'Pro Life' issue. The Republican religious right is obsessed with denying all public funding for anything even vaguely abortion related, yet they never look at the other side of the equation. It is far cheaper to have an abortion than it is to have a child. Getting pregnant without a group health insurance plan that covers pregnancy and pre-existing conditions is taking a huge risk that could bankrupt families even when a child is delivered healthy, with no complications.

3. Medical bankruptcies are a massive drain on the economy. Over 60% of all bankruptcies are directly related to medical bills. Who wouldn't go into debt to save the life of a loved one? Yet these bankruptcies hurt business and consumers alike. No one wins, and certainly people's health suffer even more when they face the stress of both a life threatening illness and bankruptcy at the same time. I am waiting for conservatives and Republicans to explain how this is good for families.

Why?

Despite these incontrovertible facts, I just can't explain why there is so much opposition to health care reform from Republicans and conservatives. One easy explanation is that they want to permanently cripple Obama politically by denying him this signature achievement. A contributing factor may be the interests of the health insurance companies who are the real drain on the health care system at this point.

There are some conservatives who seem to understand the the current system is terrible, after all, Republicans and conservatives do get sick. This article gives me hope. Even more encouraging are some of the comments, which actually resemble a real debate. It turns out almost everyone in this country has an outrageous story about mistreatment by their insurance company.

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Southeast by Southwest


Earlier this year, I flew Southwest airlines for the first time and I loved it. In my trip report, I concluded that "They provide excellent service to every major city in the United States not named Atlanta."

Last week, they placed a bid on the bankrupt, Denver based Frontier Airlines. If the bid is successful, and most aviation analysts think it will be, Southwest will be flying to many more destinations from Denver, including Atlanta.

Being an Atlanta refugee, I fly between Denver and Atlanta quite frequently. I have to say that the Southwest experience is by far better than either United or Delta. Start with low fares, no change fees, a little extra leg room, and two free checked bags for the really quantifiable differences, but there is more. People who work at Southwest generally seem to like their jobs. Ask the employees of most other airlines what they think of their employer, and expect to get an earful of complaints.

It has been said that no employee will ever treat customers better than they themselves are treated by their employer. That is one of the reasons that I prefer to patronize businesses that treat their employees well, like Southwest instead of the infamous United. Another example is Costco and Walmart. People at Costco are friendly and helpful, while I have found the experience at Walmart so miserable that I don't bother going there anymore.

Two weeks ago, I flew on both Southwest and Frontier, one way each, on a trip to Chicago and Milwaukee, which was a good back to back comparison. As for Frontier, I will be sad to see them go, on some level. Yes, they are a hometown carrier, being based here in Denver. The people I know who work there like the company, and it generally shows in how they treat their employees. On the other hand, I was disappointed when they tried to emulate United by making you pay for luggage, seat assignments, and other services that were once free. The cute animals on the tail are nice, but they don't mean much when it takes an hour to board because everyone is carrying everything on to avoid luggage fees.

For the last year or so, I have predicted 2009 will be the year that Southwest, the largest domestic carrier, finally commits to serving Atlanta, the busiest airport in the world. It will be exciting to see customer friendly Southwest acquire Frontier, and gain all of it's new routes, including Mexico, Costa Rica, and of course Atlanta.

I Win Again

Another "guess where this is" travel contest at the "One Mile At A Time" blog.

Not quite as hard as the last contest like this that I won.

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Is the Government Going to Euthanize your Grandmother?


One cannot take seriously the rantings of a lunatic like Sarah Palin. I do however have serious concerns about the "Death Panels" she spoke of. Not because they are in Obama's bill, but because they are here now. Read this article about how bureaucrats at insurance companies literally have panels to decide who gets lifesaving procedures.

Now read this article. "Is the Government Going to Euthanize your Grandmother?" about the actual end of life counseling provision in the legislation that Palin was referring to. It turns out that the leading advocate of including end of life counseling in the health care reform bill is Senator Johnny Isacson, a Republican from Georgia, and hardly an Obama supporter.

Full disclosure; I don't know Sen. Isacson, but I did intern at his company, Northside Realty in Sandy Springs at one point during high school. I even vaguely recall meeting him at some point.

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Why I Am Not An Airline Pilot

I often refer to myself as a "commercially licensed" pilot rather than a commercial pilot, as I hold a Commercial Pilot's License, yet am not currently employed as a commercial pilot, with the exception of occasional flight instruction.

I have flown commercially on a scheduled charter airline which flew both passengers and cargo between Colorado and Wyoming. In Wyoming, we had a "crash pad" in the basement of some house where we would attempt to sleep during the day.

Today, the Washington Post has an article about underpaid pilots for regional airlines and their crash pads. From the pictures and description of the crash pad they visited, it seems vastly superior to the one I used to stay in at Rock Springs, Wyoming.

The article points out that "..first-year pilots in the industry can make as little as $20,000". Actually, that is a little optimistic. I was once offered a first officer job by Mesa Air. According to their web site, their current starting salary for first officers is $19.26 an hour for turboprops. That sounds great, until you realize those are only flight hours. The time you spend at the gate and in the airport doesn't count. Your contract specifies a minimum of about 76 hours a month. Do the math, and you are looking at $17,565 dollars a year. No wonder they live in $200 a month crash pads. Word has it that many airlines include applications for public assistance in their new hire packet. Something to think about when you book a ticket on Delta/United/American that is "operated by" Skywest, Mesa, Colgan, Pinnacle, etc. More data on region airline pilot salaries is here.

This current scrutiny stems from the aftermath of the Colgan Air flight 3407 crash in Buffalo, in which pilot fatigue seems to have been a major factor. Let's just say that I can understand how that can happen, having worked flights departing at 4 AM. My only problem with the article is that it makes it seem like crash pads and pilot fatigue is a recent phenomenon caused by current events, when this has been the situation for decades. I will grant that it probably has gotten slightly worse over time, but it is not new.

Amazingly, you will periodically read about pilot shortages, not just from people selling flight training, but from serious publications like Aviation Week. There is no pilot shortage, just a shortage of people willing to fly airplanes for less than $20,000 a year, especially when they can be located anywhere in the country based on factors that are out of their control.

Most people would be surprised to know that being a pilot is one of the most dangerous jobs in the country. It is usually listed second or third behind fishermen in stories like this. Police on the other hand, despite their high and mighty claims that they must taser children, great-grandmothers, and pregnant women to protect their saftey, rank only 10th.

It is the final quote of the article that made me remember why I ultimately turned down the job offer from prestigious Mesa Airlines. The article quotes the wife of one of the pilots:

"...it has been difficult for their children. "My little girl, she says, 'When is Daddy coming to visit us again?' I said, 'Daddy doesn't come and visit us. This is his home.' "

Thursday, July 16, 2009

The Secret Credit Card Menu


Over at the AskMrCreditCard blog, I have written a post on the Secret Menu available to you when you call your credit card company.

It is an interesting read if I do say so myself.

Tuesday, July 14, 2009

The Many Lessons Of "United Breaks Guitars"

The more I think and read about this, and the more the catchy tune plays in my head, the more I realize how many conclusions that can be drawn from the Dave Carroll video, and his story, aside from the astonishing fact that Country Music exists in Canada.

1. The song is not really about trying to get money out of United, the singer has moved on. In light of his new found fame, his guitar has been replaced by the manufacturer for free, and his career will likely take off.

2. United's failure was not in breaking the guitar, it is in how he was repeatedly mistreated by them.

3. United is as clueless in social media relations as it is with customer relations. Read this article for more.

4. This is not going to blow over as a temporary internet phenomenon. It will remain alive in the upcoming songs 2 and 3 that Dave promised. Dave might become an actual star and be known for years as the "United Breaks Guitars" guy.

5. United is fundamentally screwed up. Dave later explains that the person who ultimately denied his claim is a nice person who was just doing her job. This sounds good for United, but it is actually the most damning thing about them. If she was some nasty, rogue employee, United could fire her and be done with it's troubles. The truth is that United is a nasty, rogue company who's insane, the 'customer is always wrong', policies must be executed by otherwise nice, sane people who are just doing their job. As I wrote, it is a company that is structurally designed end engineered to fail it's customers, stockholders, and it's employees.


Thankfully, it's only redeeming quality is it's exemplary safety record. The seemingly appropriate picture above was from a crash in 1973.

Friday, July 10, 2009

United Airlines, Designed To Fail?



The story of singer Dave Carrol's guitar being mutilated by United Airlines has been making it's rounds all over the web. I am not much for country music, so I went to his website to read what happened.

The story is all too familiar. Few people, if anyone, at that company has any interest in helping you. They sometimes pretend to be helpful, but you later realize that they were just trying to make you go away. I am not talking about a handful of rogue employees, I am talking about the vast majority of their staff.

Read this quote from Dave's site immediately following the incident:

I immediately tried to communicate this to the flight attendant who cut me off saying: “Don’t talk to me. Talk to the lead agent outside”. I found the person she pointed to and that lady was an “acting” lead agent but refused to talk to me and disappeared into the crowd saying “I’m not the lead agent”. I spoke to a third employee at the gate and when I told her the baggage handlers were throwing expensive instruments outside she dismissed me saying “but hun, that’s why we make you sign the waiver”. I explained that I didn’t sign a waiver and that no waiver would excuse what was happening outside. She said to take it up with the ground crew in Omaha. When I got to Omaha it was around 12:30 am. The plane was late arriving and there were no employees visible.
And then again, when he tries to file a claim:

When I got home to Halifax I was told that United doesn’t really have a presence there and that Air Canada is their partner.....When I called the number United said I had to return to the Halifax airport with the guitar to show the damage to someone and open a claim. When I returned to the Halifax airport I met with an Air Canada employee, because United has no presence there, and that person acknowledged the damage, opened a claim number but “denied” the claim because Air Canada would not be responsible for damage caused by United employees in Chicago (which still makes sense to me).

I took the claim number and called United back. They never seemed to be able find the claim number on several subsequent phone calls but at the last minute it would always surface. I spoke several times to what I believe were agents in India who, ironically were the most pleasant, and seemed genuinely sorry for what had happened. Three or four months later I got directed to the Chicago baggage offices of United and after several attempts to speak with someone was told to simply bring in the guitar for inspection…to Chicago…from Halifax, Canada.

When I explained that Halifax is far from Chicago someone then said my claim needed to go through Central Baggage in New York and they gave me a toll free phone number. I phoned that number and spoke to someone. She couldn’t understand why someone in Chicago thought she would be able to help me but she seemed to feel for me and asked me to fax her all the information. I did and a few weeks passed with no reply. I called back and the lady said she’d never received the fax. Then I asked her to look for it and surprisingly, there it was. When she found it she asked me to give her a couple of days and to call back. I did, and by the time I phoned again two days later, the number had been discontinued.

I had to start all over again with the same 1-800 # to India,...

Compare this to my experience trying to get to sit next to my wife and infant child in their business class:

The agent was unable to give us seats together, but assured us the staff at the gate would be able to resolve this matter. The staff at the gate, asked us to speak with the staff on board. The staff at the entrance to the aircraft asked me to speak to the staff in the cabin. The staff in the cabin actually told us to ask around ourselves to see if anyone would switch seats with us! It was only the generosity of a fellow passenger that allowed me to sit with my wife and assist with the care of our infant child.
I can understand that humans are not perfect, and that their are unhelpful and indifferent people in any large organization.

The situation is different than that at United Airlines. Incompetence is the norm, and helpful people are a rarity.

Usually, when you encounter incompetence in front line staff, a supervisor is there to resolve the issue. Not at United.

When booking the previously mentioned flight, we had a similar experience to Dave. We ticketed the trip three months before our daughter was even born, and we were told at that time that we couldn't book the ticket until she was born and had a name, and that then we would just have to pay taxes for her. The agent said repeatedly that it would be "less than $100." When she was born and we called to have her ticketed, we were told that we would actually have to pay over $800 dollars to ticket her as a “lap child” with no seat!. United’s actual policy, contrary to what we were first told, is to charge parents of a lap child an additional %10 of the highest possible price for the seat in the class that the parents are ticket in. Needless to say, I was not happy at the fee, and for being completed misquoted.

The supervisor refused to honor their original quote, so I told him that my wife and I would make it our mission in life to ensure that the whole world knows that United screws young families traveling with infants on their lap. We promised to write every travel, parenting, and consumer affairs newspaper columnist, web site, magazine, and TV Show. The supervisor still refused to do anything.

Sound familiar? Again from Dave's web site:
In my final reply to Ms. Irlweg [supervisor] I told her that I would be writing three songs about United Airlines and my experience in the whole matter. I would then make videos for these songs and offer them for free download online, inviting viewers to vote on their favourite United song. My goal: to get one million hits in one year.
In fact, I didn't go to the press, what I did was write the same threat in an email to United's entire executive staff. Within 24 hours, we received a call from a senior customer service manager who wanted to resolve the matter by charging us what they originally quoted. From the Chicago Tribune:
Rob Bradford, managing director of customer solutions at United, called Carroll Wednesday to apologize for the foul-up and to ask if the carrier could use the video internally to help change its culture.

In both my case and Dave Carroll's, problems with them can only be fixed after:

1. Going through an endless runaround

2. Generating extremely generate bad publicity, or merely threatening their management with bad publicity.

I can't say if their organization was purposely designed that way, or if it just got their through terrible management. I can say that I have concluded that I no longer have neither the time nor the patience to subject myself to United Airlines ever again.

I imagine that Dave has probably reached the same conclusion by now.

Thursday, July 9, 2009

Maybe I Should Start Watching Fox


This stuff is hilarious, you couldn't make it up if you tried!

Wednesday, July 8, 2009

On Really Close Finishes


Yesterday, two remarkable things occurred. Al Franken, seen above (not in yellow), was sworn in as the junior Senator from Minnesota. He won the election by 312 votes out of 2,424,946 million cast.

In France, Lance Armstrong narrowly missed obtaining the Tour de France's Yellow Jersey by .18 seconds. This is his total time deficit over the first four days of racing hundreds of miles.

So Franken won by 312 votes out of 2,424,946 votes officially cast, a victory margin of 0.0128662659%

Armstrong is not in Yellow by .18 seconds out of 10 hours, 38 minutes and 7 seconds. That is .18 seconds out of 38,287 seconds in the race so far, or margin of 0.000470133465667% So Al Franken won by a landslide in comparison to yesterdays Tour de France finish.

Of course, Armstrong is only 4 stages into a 20 stage race, and there are good reasons it is advantageous for him not to be in Yellow at this time.

On the other hand, the race is over and Al Franken is now a United States Senator.

As a fan of both Al Franken and Lance Armstrong, yesterday was a great day.

Friday, July 3, 2009

Future Trivia Question

Does anyone remember who John McCain's running mate was in is failed 2008 presidential bid?

Tuesday, June 30, 2009

Final Note On Jackson

I was in Atlanta last Thursday, and I had the occasion to speak with a writer for CNN. I initially offered my polite criticism of his employer, which he seconded with a far more scathing rebuke. He was embarrassed to be associated with them, and hoped to leave as soon as possible. In fact, he didn't even get CNN at home.

One of my criticisms was that CNN should start an entertainment news network, and cover all of those stories there, leaving the core channel for actual news.

It was only a few minutes later that I was to hear about the death of Michael Jackson. Today, we learned that "Fully 93% of cable coverage studied on the Thursday and Friday following his death was about the King of Pop."

For days, their top story was: "Michael Jackson is still dead."

Jackson death also killed any remaining interest the world had in the Iranian election, let alone hiking trips conducted by southern governors.

Monday, June 29, 2009

One Rabbi's Experience With Michael Jackson

I don't follow much celebrity gossip, and I am not particularly interested in reading that Michael Jackson is still dead.

That said, I found this article in the Jerusalem Post by his onetime confidant, Rabbi Shmuley Boteach sufficient to put his life in perspective. Ultimately, Rabbi Boteach was unsuccessful in helping this talented, yet deeply trouble person. In death, he humanizes Jackson in a way he was unable to do in life.

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Talk Nicely, and Carry a Big Stick

Obama is not a simple person. Depending on who you talk to, he a Communist, a Muslim, a Christian, a foreigner, or perhaps even a centrist Democrat (no way!).

This article seems to nail his political strategy to a T. Obama corners his opponents in public by being conciliatory, and then kills them in private. A great strategy, especially when you agree with his policies.

Good Riddance to "Clear"

The "Clear" registered traveler program went broke and is no more, and that is a good thing. Not only is was it unprofitable, it set a terrible precedent for paying for security.

With paid screening programs like this, the incentive is for the alternative to get worse and worse. I am sure it bothered them to no end when the TSA added new lanes or opened up the existing ones at peak times.

Fortunately, their fatal flaw was that they really didn't do anything but allow you to cut in line. Passengers were subjected to the same security, just possibly with slightly less waiting beforehand.

Actually, the precedent was set a long time ago when they established separate lines for elite members of airline's frequent flier clubs. Of course, membership in these "elite" programs can be obtained through some credit cards without even stepping on a plane. In other instances, a promotion offers the opportunity to take one or two flights that will give you status. So much for the idea of a "frequent flier". And really, how the heck does a private company give you some card that determines your access to a federal security screening? Why can't I use my Blockbuster or Starbucks card?

Ultimately, less ability to bypass security will make the problems of the TSA more noticeable to some of the country's most frequent fliers, our members of Congress.

Tuesday, June 16, 2009

Health Care

I am very interested in the current debate about health care, even though I am not a medical professional and I am very healthy.

One of the scariest exercises I ever performed was when my former employer told me that they were going to offer me a slight pay raise in order to drop my health insurance. They even said that they would be looking to eliminate health benefits in the future. I looked around the private sector for health insurance for myself and my healthy wife. The numbers were staggeringly in excess of what we were paying, dwarfing they pay raise that I was offered. Had my wife or I had a pre-existing condition, coverage would have been far more expensive and the condition would not have been covered.

As people debate health care reform, please consider the following:

1. Every elected official debating health care already has government health care. Keep that in mind when they are slamming it. Add to that every member of the military, their families, and many veterans enjoy government health care. Finally, another 40 million Americans have Medicare. If you think this is so terrible, just hint that you are considering thinking about proposing to study some minor cuts to these programs. If you are an elected official, you will be run out of town instantly.

2. Obama and most Democrats are proposing a public option. No matter how many times they repeat the word option, the members of the hollow shell of what was once the Republican party claim that you will be forced into it. This is a continuation of their failed strategy during the 2008 Presidential campaign. They refuse to criticize Obama's proposals on their merits, rather they merely claim that he is not telling the truth and has other, hidden intentions. Every time you hear someone, Democrat or Republican, criticize Obama's health care proposal, ask yourself if they are really just claiming he won't do what he says he will.

3. A lot of people are scared of the idea of government run health care. They feel that it will take over the health care industry. There are many examples of government competing with the private industry in sectors of the economy even larger than health care. For example, you have government co-existing with private industry in education, law enforcement, and even courier services. Think of the public option like the post office. If you don't like, go to UPS or FedEx. They might give you better service, if you live in a major city, but it will cost you a heck of a lot more than 44 cents to mail a letter.

4. If you think that private industry is so much more efficient than the government, 1. You haven't read the news in the last 6 months, and 2., You have never tried to get a health insurance company to pay a claim. I will see your "hundred dollar hammer" and raise you a $50 dollar band-aid.

5. Speaking of paying claims, private health care is fantastic, until they have to pay a claim. Keep in mind the inherent conflict of interest that will always be present in a for profit health insurance company. They have a duty to their shareholders to maximize profits that takes precedence over their obligations to their insured. The administrators of a public option would have a duty to the public, just like the VA, Medicare, or the insurance provided to government employees.

6. When objections are raised to the public option, consider on whose behalf the objection is being made. Are people against the public option because they claim it will be more expensive or less efficient hurting patients, or because it will be cheaper and more efficient, which would hurt insurance companies? Are they looking out for patients, or just trying to preserve the status quo on behalf of the insurance industry?

7. Whenever you hear that we currently have competition, ask yourself what competition you have? If you have a job, your choice is your employer sponsored health care plan, or nothing. If you don't have a job, your choices are similar to a traveler at an airport with no commercial airline service. There are many companies from whom you can charter a private jet, so there is competition. The question is, can you afford it? Like air service, the price of health care drops dramatically when there are efficiencies of scale. That is why insurance will always cost less when you are a member of a large company, or better yet, part of a public option.

8. Even if you have a great job with awesome insurance, consider the penalty to the economy that derives from so many uninsured people in the United States. One way or another, you are already paying for these people through inflated costs both directly and through your insurance. Furthermore, consider that over 60% of bankruptcies are linked to medical bills Finally, how many people are unable to quit their jobs and work for themselves for lack of affordable health care? Health care reform may well be the key to an explosion of entrepreneurship.

Again, I am not an expert in health care, but these principles seem incontrovertible. What are your thought?

Thursday, June 11, 2009

Hope or No Hope?

I am generally an optimist when it comes to peace between Israel and the Palestinians. I have felt that way ever since I visited Turkey, and saw a modern Muslim country that happened to be an ally of Israel.

Then again, sometimes I read stories like this: Palestinian family kills 15-yr-old son for 'collaboration'

Friday, June 5, 2009

Why Do The Legacy Carriers Exist?

Scott McCartney over at the Wall Street Journal exposes what I already knew, that certain discount carriers are much more comfortable than the legacy carriers.

Anyone who has ever flown discount carriers like JetBlue or Southwest will testify that the amount of space you get in your seat is far more than you do in older airlines like Delta and United.

So you pay less and get more. In fact, on Southwest, you get a lot more, like two free checked bags.

Why do the Legacys exist? First class, or at least the possibility of a free upgrade to first class. Then again, you don't really need first class if your coach seat is comfortable. In fact, I have long suspected that they probably sell more first class seats on airlines when coach is the most uncomfortable.

The second reason is international flights. Jetblue and others are expanding to the Carribean, but there really hasn't been much of a push overseas for most American low cost carriers.

That is a shame. I would love to see Southwest or Jetblue aquire some larger aircraft and start offering service overseas from their hubs. In the absense of that, I think someone could make some money with a discount international carrier that codeshares with Southwest, JetBlue, Airtran or Frontier. Think of it like a regional jet provider, except it would be an international provider. Perhaps they could code share with multiple discount carriers both in the US and overseas.

One can dream.

Air France Tragedy and Fernando de Naronha


Fernando and Me

This tragedy really struck both my wife and I on a personal level. While the rest of the world is unfamiliar with the area off of the coast of Brazil where this plane disappeared, we remember it fondly as the place where we spent the first week of our honeymoon in July of 2005. The island of Fernando de Naronha (pronounce naron-ya) is an amazing place, often referred to as the Galapagos of the Atlantic.

The Middle of Nowhere

This is an island that is so remote, that it's meager population of a few hundred are the only inhabitants of it's entire time zone, making it the least populated time zone on the entire planet. From that description, and the picture above, you can see why it was such an attraction to us as a honeymoon destination.

The island is incredibly well known throughout Brazil, yet very few Brazilians have ever visited there. It is expensive, by Brazilian standards, and as a National Park the number of visitors is tightly restricted. Very few people outside of Brazil have heard of Fernando, and at the time, it was extremely hard to get there. From Denver, we flew via Miami, Sao Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Recife, and finally to the island of Fernando. Five flights traveling a great deal out of our way were required since at that time, there was no service from the United States to northern Brazil. Today, Delta and American Airlines serves Natal and Recife from Atlanta and Miami, which are both much more direct routes to the island.

The island is only a few miles across, just large enough for a tiny commercial airport in it's interior. It receives only two flights a day, and it's "terminal" is about the size of a small cafe. Nevertheless, it is easy to see how any distressed pilot in the central Atlantic would immediately turn towards Fernando in the event of an emergency, as there is nothing else out there for hundreds of miles between South America, Africa, and Europe.

Publicity

It is said that there is no such thing as bad publicity, and in the wake of the Air France 447 disaster, billions of people know of Fernando de Naronha who would have never known of it's existence. If .0001% of them ever visit there, it will be a major influx of people.

This New York Times article explains some of the islands history, and references the fact that the paper hasn't written an article about it in nearly 20 years.

Aviation

What brought the plane down? For some informed information, I would refer your to the website of pilot and former CNN correspondent Miles O'Brien. Now that Miles is no longer with CNN, I believe they now cover aviation stories with whoever on their staff happens to have the most frequent flier miles at the time.

Here is an interesting article about the chances of a meteorite hitting an airplane. Of course, who is to say that a small meteorite would be instantly disastrous?

I personally am leaning towards some kind of turbulence induced structural failure, like American Airlines 587.

Philosophy

This kind of accident scares us in part, because there is not yet a known cause. It has been so long since a large jetliner was lost without survivors, the scope of the tragedy seems to have receded from our memory. The last major aviation disaster was actually the aforementioned American Airlines 587 that crashed in November of 2001. This article about the people who accidentally missed boarding that flight shows the random forces that continues to choose between life and death in our modern world.

Few things bother me quite as much as when people say "Everything happens for a reason". It doesn't. There is no reason some people made that flight, and others didn't. When the people who skipped work at the twin towers on 9/11 started saying nonsense like, "I think god wanted me to live", what did those statements imply for the thousands who did show up for work that day?

It is scary to live in a world where the most casual of decisions can ultimately determine life or death. The upside of this realization is that it reminds us to live life to it's greatest extent. That was our motivation for taking three weeks off of work in July of 2005 to visit Brazil, and explore paradise in the Central Atlantic.

Blogging Update


As some have noticed, I have taken a break from my personal blog. I have also stopped blogging as the Denver Local Expert over at PlanetEye. PlanetEye was a fun gig, but they have restructured their once generous payment system so that I would hardly be getting paid at all there.

All of the while, I have been contributing to the blog at AskMrCreditCard. I have actually learned a lot about the credit card and banking industries while producing lengthy posts nearly every day. If you don't currently read it, I highly recommend that you check it out.

I am now ready to resume some more blogging here on Steele Street.

Thursday, March 12, 2009

Bizarreness

I am not big on gossip or the personal lives of politicians, but some things are too weird to go unnoticed. Take this quote from this New York Times article about the breakup of Bristol Palin and Levi Johnston.

Bristol Palin said in a statement issued through a spokeswoman for her mother's political action committee that she was "devastated."

"Unfortunately, my family has seen many people say and do many things to 'cash in' on the Palin name," she said. "Sometimes that greed clouds good judgment and the truth."

What's Bizzarre?

1. A teenager issues a statement through her mother's political action committee.

2. She is "devastated" not because she broke up with her fiance, or that her child will not be raised with his father, but because of the commercial implications of the rumors.

Here is a family that has it's priorities straight!

Note that this is only relevant and public because they and their "upcoming child and marriage" were exhibit A at the RNC convention, and because the child, presumably, chose to issue a statement through her mother's polictical action committee, and because Palin has given every indication that she intends to run for President in three years.

That would be great news for comedians, but bad new for Republicans

Tuesday, March 3, 2009

Rush Limbaugh, Tool of the Democratic Party

You have got to love the fight between Michael Steele and Rush Limbaugh. When I went home from work yesterday, I knew that whoever received the apology was the real head of the Republican Party. It didn't take long until Steele apologized to Rush for calling him an an ugly, incendiary entertainer.

Here's where it really gets fun. Rahm Emanuel has totally outmaneuvered both Rush and Steele. First, by egging Rush on, Emanuel he has made him the face of the Republican Party.

And what a face it is! He appeals to wealthy southern white conservatives, and few others. Even without that demographic, the Democratic Party is still able to win in Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida with a black guy. It is now clear the that the Republican tent is not big enough for anyone with a broader appeal then Rush.

Emanuel is also exploiting the key difference between the interests of Limbaugh and the Republicans. It turns out that Steele was right about Rush, but especially the entertainer part. Rush cares about ratings, not about political parties, elections, or policies. His show is an act. He would play the part of a liberal on his radio show if he thought he could attract a larger audience. How else could you explain the fact that he has been openly wishing for President Obama to fail, and that he told an audience not to donate to the Republican party:

I don’t understand why you’re asking Republicans to donate to the Republican National Committee if their money is going to be spent furthering the agenda of Barack Obama? If we don’t want Obama and Reid and Pelosi to fail, then why does the RNC exist, Mr. Steele? Why are you even raising money?

Emanuel doesn't care about Rush Limbaugh or radio shows. Emanuel has successfully made Rush a tool of the Democrats by exploiting this narrow distinction between the interests of Rush and the Republicans. Rush is milking the controversy for ratings, while Emanuel has got Rush Limbaugh attacking the Republican party!

What's not to love?

Friday, February 27, 2009

The Magnitude Of The Republican's Backwardness


The Republican Party is really screwed. I mean really screwed.

Jindal's response to Obama's address to congress was so bad, it was painful.

Allow me to deconstruct a small part of it:

To strengthen our economy, we also need to address the crisis in health care.

By we, I am sure he cannot mean the Republicans who sat on their hands when they controlled both Congress and the White House for six years, twice vetoing expanded health care coverage for children when the Democrats regained Congress.

Republicans believe in a simple
principle: No American should have to worry about losing their health coverage - period.

That stands in stark contrast to what their party's nominee for president, John McCain said in the debate when he called health care a "responsibility", not a right.

We stand for universal
access to affordable health care coverage.

Since when?

We oppose universal government-run health care.

Actually, we are strongly in favor of non-universal government-run health care, such as state and federally run systems that elected officials, government employees, and active and retired military personnel and their families receive. We oppose Medicare and Medicaid, but we won't say so publicly.


Health care
decisions should be made by doctors and patients - not by government bureaucrats.

Most importantly, health care decisions should be made by for-profit insurance companies accountable only to their shareholders, not by government officials accountable to the people. Of course, that excludes the state and federally run systems that elected officials, government employees, and active and retired military personnel and their families use.

We believe Americans can
do anything - and if we put aside partisan politics and work together, we can make our system of private medicine affordable and accessible for every one of our citizens.

Yes, Americans can do anything! We can go to war, cut taxes, and reduce the deficit at the same time! That is because the war will pay for itself, cutting taxes increases revenue, and deficits don't matter.


On the other hand, I am slightly encouraged by the mea culpa he adds towards the end of his speech:

In recent years, these distinctions in philosophy became less clear - because our party got away from its principles. You elected Republicans to champion limited government, fiscal discipline, and personal responsibility. Instead, Republicans went along with earmarks and big government spending in Washington. Republicans lost your trust - and rightly so.

I think more Americans are concerned about the completely collapsed economy or the pointless war in Iraq than "earmarks".

Until Republican leaders like Jindal stop making up stories, and fess up for more of their's and Bush's failures, we are a long time away from a Republican revival.

Wednesday, February 25, 2009

Politics and Volcanos

I have been silent on the subject of politics for some time. Frankly, after eight years of watching a dangerous moron attempt to run the country, there is a lot less to worry about now that intelligent adults are in charge.

That said, I did watch President Obama's address last night, at least until my media server decided it was over at the scheduled time. While I missed Governor Piyush "Bobby" Jindal's address, it has been interesting hearing the reviews of it.

One review stood out. Nate Silver over at FiveThrityEight.com dug a bit deeper into Jindal's criticism of spending on volcano monitoring. Apparently, Republicans believe it is wasteful spending to fund scientists predicting the eruption of volcanoes.

I am no geologist, but I do work as a contractor at the United States Geological Survey (USGS). In fact, I just happened to speak with a volcano scientist the other day who was hard at work monitoring an impending eruption in Alaska.

Most of the cargo flights from Asia to the United States fly through Anchorage, likely the computer your are looking at right now. Most passenger flights from the US to Asia also tend to fly over Alaska as well. Volcanic ash is a serious hazard to air traffic. In addition to Alaska, there eight other states that have volcanoes that are active now or have been so in the geologically recent past.

Wouldn't a "conservative" approach be to monitor these volcanoes, and others around the world, in order to save lives and countless hundreds of millions of dollars when they erupt?

Of course, in the aftermath of the Bush years, Republicans are still happy to attack funding for the mitigating of natural disasters in an attempt to score political points while risking lives. If science is involved, that makes it even more suspicious.

No one knows that better than the Governor of Louisiana.

Update: A more thorough analysis here.

Friday, February 13, 2009

Investigating Continental 3047

Sadly, America's run of over two years without a domestic airline fatality has come to an end. In looking at what happened over Buffalo, what is amazing is that anyone with access to the internet can be an accident investigator, as I have shown.

FlightAware is an incredible tool that will show the flight path of any airplane flying on an instrument, or IFR flight plan. This includes many private aircraft and all commercial flights. I frequently use it to track flights of family and friends arriving in Denver as it is far more accurate than the airline's guestimated arrival times. When tradjedy strikes, it can also be used by the public to try to understand what happened.

In the case of Continental 3047, here is what Flight Aware is showing today:


From this page alone, we instantly know far more than the news anchors are able to grasp. The flight was on a Bombardier (DeHavilland) Q400 operated by Colgan airlines. The Q400 is a highly advanced version of the Dash 7, a type that has been operating since 1983.

Lets zoom in at the weather at the crash site:
You can see that redish patch that the flight passed through shortly after disappearing from radar. Every viewer of the local news "weather center" knows that it indicates an area of maximum intensity of precipitation. Every pilot knows that icing is so dangerous that even large jetliners must exit heavy icing conditions as soon as possible.

I am not the accident investigator, and I am not drawing any conclusions. That said, if I were the accident investigator, icing would be the first thing I would look at.

Update: Former CNN science and aviation correspondent, Miles O'Brien has a great post on the same subject in his blog. Miles is an active general aviation pilot, and his dismissal from CNN is another reason that they stink, especially when covering aviation stories like this.

Tuesday, February 10, 2009

Atlanta Calls Delta's Bluff

A couple of weeks ago, Delta, the world's largest carrier, told Atlanta's airport, "lower your fees or we will reduce service".

Today, rumor has it that my new favorite airline, Southwest, the largest domestic airline, is speaking with the Atlanta people about taking some of the gate space there.

I am sure Delta will complain a little less in the future.

For me, Southwest service to Atlanta would be a dream come true. As an Atlanta Refugee, I fly there several times a year.. As Southwest currently serves almost all major cities not named "Atlanta," this is indeed a welcome development.

Friday, January 30, 2009

No Relation

Michael Steele was just elected to chair the Republican Party. We are not related.

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Trip Report: Southwest Airlines

For years I have heard of the legend of Southwest Airlines. Their prices are great, you sit wherever you want, and the company has been by far the most profitably airline in the United States for decades.

Unfortunately, I have spent most of the last 30 years of my life living in cities that did not have service with Southwest Airlines, specifically Atlanta and Denver. That is the thing with Southwest, historically, they have been very picky with which cities they fly to. While airlines like Delta are constantly seeking new service to fly to every paved airstrip within 8,000 miles of Atlanta, Southwest, the largest domestic airline (by passengers), doesn't even serve Atlanta, the busiest airport in the world. That is because they expand slowly and only wish to fly to cities that they could make a profit from. That policy is changing as they have recently announced service to New York LaGuardia and other cities that once lacked their service.

Two years ago, they decided to start a hub in Denver. Interestingly, almost every city they fly to is a hub of some sort. You can connect between almost every city they serve, unlike most airlines that only have a handful of major hubs.

On our trip last week, we went from Denver to Ft. Lauderdale and continued on to Tampa before returning to Denver. Each leg of the trip was priced and purchased separately. After I booked it, I realized that I had entered one of the dates wrong. With any other airline, this error on my part would have incurred a hefty change fee at best. With Southwest, there are no change fees at all. You always have the option of booking a new flight, at whatever price is currently available, using the money paid for your existing reservation as a credit. If the new flight is less than your reservations, you receive a refund as a credit towards a future flight.

Before you say that Southwest is giving away money with this policy, consider my experience: The price drops on my Florida trip, so I received a credit towards a future flight. I actually did this twice in the three months between my initial reservation and the trip, as airfares plummeted with the price of crude. The credits were part of our payment for our next trip on Southwest to San Diego. Just today, the price dropped on our San Diego trip to an incredible $59 each way, resulting in a further flight credit. I am now just starting to wonder how I can fly Southwest again using that credit! It appears to be a win-win policy for everyone, yet no other airline I know of works like this.

I have to say that our first impression with Southwest at the airport was a little strange. We are traveling with our 18 month old daughter, as we have many times before. At check in, Southwest insisted on documentation of her age, unlike Airtran, United, and Frontier have when we flew them domestically. They relented, but it was odd that they would not take the word of the child's parents, as every other business does. They even tried hard to blame FAA regulations that required a seat to be purchased for children over 2 years old, but it seemed like a revenue enhancement meausure to us. We were later able to get our pediatrician's office to fax us her immunization records, so the problem never came up again.

That experience behind us, we were treated to exceptional service by the flight attendants on all of our flights. To our shock, they actually seemed to care about their customers, even showing us extra consideration as we were traveling with an infant.

On each flight we were warned repeatedly that the flight was full, yet on each occasion we were able to have a whole row of three seats for my wife and I as well as our "lap child". My only complaint would be that Southwest mimics the practice of most other airlines in this country of leaving the seat belt sign on for most of the flight. They announce it is for safety as they are expecting turbulence, even when a half an hour goes by without so much as a jiggle. Throughout the whole time, flight attendants are walking about, apparently immune to the laws of physics.

That said, every flight departed and arrived on time. We actually chose a flight from Denver to Ft. Lauderdale that stopped in New Orleans. They offered a non-stop flight, but the price was $80 greater. The quick stop, with no change of plane, was easily worth the $160 saved.

Another great benefit of flying Southwest is their "no fees" policy. There are no telephone booking fees, no fuel surcharges, no curb checking fees, and each passenger gets two free checked bags. I used to travel alone for business, and I rarely checked a bag. Now, it is an absolute pleasure to be able to travel with a child without worrying about the cost of checking luggage. On each flight, our luggage was promptly delivered intact.

Every now and then, I hear someone attempt to justify their company's stupid policies by explaining that they do it their way because other companies in their industry do it that way too. I have also heard people explain weird practices by saying that if there was a better way, someone would have figured it out by now. After flying Southwest, I now see that 1) not every airline is run by idiots, and 2) Southwest has already figured out how to do it better.

So whenever your travel plans call for air travel, consider Southwest. They provide excellent service to every major city in the United States not named Atlanta.

My Thoughts On US Airways 1549

Most pilots find the initial mainstream media coverage of aviation accidents humorous. We chuckle when the local news reporter recounts the amazing story of a plane that somehow lands without being able to put it's wheels down (this is perhaps the most frequent aviation accident and almost never causes injury). Our eyes roll when we hear about the incredible pilot who lands on the highway after running out of gas. We know the pilot was a moron for running out of gas in the first place and that landing on a highway is no big deal for any decent pilot. Then there was the case of the "hero" pilot who was caught on camera attempting to land in severe conditions. I exposed the fact that he was wrecklessly trying to land on the wrong runway in a dangerous crosswind.

As a commercially rated pilot and a certified flight instructor, I was still quite amazed when I heard about this accident.

I had just landed on a commercial flight to Ft. Lauderdale when I saw the coverage. I immediately assumed that the pictures of an intact airliner in the water in New York City occurred when it skidded off a runway at LaGuardia. Frankly, most pilots had considered the possibility of a commercial airliner landing in the water intact to be somewhat of a joke. The crash scene from the movie Castaway or the fate Ethiopian Airlines Flight 961 seems a more likely outcome for this scenario. I was astonished to find out that the plane had actually landed in the Hudson River, not Long Island Sound.

Over at Meadow's Lane, Eric has rightfully commended the entire crew for their bravery, not just the Captain.

As for Captain Sully, I believe that his brilliance was not merely the landing itself, but his timely decision to attempt the landing. I think that that any professional airline pilot should have been capable of making such a landing, however very few would have chosen to do so in time to have the chance to save everyone on board. This has always been a consideration for me as a general aviation (light aircraft) pilot. When I flew a four seat plane to Alaska, I always anticipated landing in the water if I were to have an engine failure, rather than impacting the forests or mountains. Water landings in small aircraft are much more survivable than most dry landings other than on a road or a field.

The truth about being a great pilot is that it is more about making the right decisions quickly than having superior hand/eye coordination. In making the decision to land on the Hudson, his actions went beyond bravery into the realm of chutzpah. In fact, aviation experts are now reconsidering their recommendations for when a "water landing" might be the safest alternative for a stricken airliner.

Finally, for all of my criticisms of domestic airlines terrible customer service, and blatant hypocrisy, there is clearly one area in commercial aviation where the United States leads the world, safety. Having now gone over two years without a fatal accident, we are currently setting historic new milestones for commercial aviation that we can be proud of.

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

A New Day


The sun rose in Denver as I traveled to work. To my left, was Pike's Peak, the inspiration for the line "Purple Mountains Majesty, above the fruited plain." To my right, was Mile High Stadium, where six months ago, I witnessed Barack Obama's nomination for the office of President.

Today is a day for the world to rekindle their love affair with America and democracy.

When I arrived at work, I saw the first images of the entire national mall in Washington filled with hopeful humanity. It is a stunning sight. As I write this, the President Elect has been introduced to pandemonium as far as the eye can see. The mere 100,000 people who I saw gathered in Denver in front of the state capitol in October was but an intimate gathering by comparison.

Today is also the day to bid farewell to a sad chapter in American history. The man who claimed to be a "uniter, not a divider" ended up uniting the country against him and the world against us. The man who promised not engage in nation building, did so to an unprecedented degree, and in a disastrous manner. Under his neglect, thousands have died, a great city was written off, and families have been devastated as trillions of dollars of personal and corporate wealth has disappeared.

It is difficult to recall that only eight years ago, and election was conducted in which one of the most important issues was what to do with our large national budget surplus.

Today, I am proud to be an American.

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

An Israeli Law Student Addresses The UN


I know of the situation in Sderot, Israel that has prompted the current war in Gaza, yet I found this story chilling.

What would your country do if they were attacked by 10,000 rockets?

Monday, January 12, 2009

2 Airlines, 2 Bizarre Policies, 2 Different Results

We have all run across airline policies that clearly make no sense. In fact, as I have documented, airlines in this country have serious credibility problems as they compete with automakers for the title of the worst managed industry.

Recently, I read two different articles about these type of ridiculous price gouging policies, both of which I have had personal experience with.

Problem Number One: United Airlines insists on charging 10% of their highest possible fare for infants traveling on your lap on international flights. When my wife and I flew to Israel last year, using United frequent flier miles for a business class ticket, they wanted to charge us over $800 to carry our infant on our lap. I was able to resolve the situation to my satisfaction, as the representative I initially spoke with quoted us a price of under $100. When asked later to pay $800, I launched an EECB that resulted in a reasonable payment of taxes and fees.

When another flier encounters the same absurd policy and complains, here is their account of United's response via Chris Elliot's blog:

This is a policy they’ve had in place that they will charge 10 percent of whatever cabin that the parents are in. She is not willing to budge as this is “not negotiable” and it is what it is.

She did say that she agrees that this is strange but that the policy has been in effect for a very long time.

They know this is stupid, but that is how they do it, so tough crap.

Problem Number Two: Airlines want to charge fliers enormous fees for carrying a bicycle, even if it folds or can be disassembled to fit in the same size of a normal suitcase. Using the word "bicycle" to describe your luggage's contents triggers both the fee, as well as a waiver of all damages. They can run over it with a truck, and they are not liable for a penny.

I have solved this problem in the past by putting the wheels in one box, and the frame in the other. I mark the large, flat boxes "photography" so that the baggage agents do not consider they contain a bicycle.

A contributor to the Consumerist complains about this absurd policy to JetBlue, and JetBlue replies:

"Thanks for helping to bring this to our attention. We pride ourselves on our customer service and when we’re faced with a situation where policy doesn’t make sense in practice, we’re always ready to correct or clarify......Our bicycle policy has now been updated to reflect that Customers traveling with a folding bikes in a bag that fits within the standard checked bag weights and dimensions (62 inches in overall dimensions and 50 pounds in weight — see our baggage requirements here) will not be charged the Bike fee and will be treated like any checked bag."

Conclusion: When faced with absurd policies, United says "Too bad, that's how we do it.", while JetBlue says, "The customer is right, we are changing our policy".

Which airline would you fly? Which airline do you think will be around in the future?

Wednesday, January 7, 2009

Fauxtography in Gaza

Jeffrey Goldberg of The Atlantic presents this article titled "The World's Pornographic Interest in Jewish Moral Failure". What a profound twist of words on a tragic situation, Hamas's obscene exploitation of Palestinian civilians, living and deceased, as well as the world's perverse fascination with it.

Along the same lines, French TV apologizes for including footage of a Hamas bomb from 2005 as evidence of atrocities in the current Gaza conflict.

This morning, I listened to NPR (National Palestinian Radio?) conduct an extensive debate about the morality of Israel's military actions that, while targeted at combatants, inevitably hit the civilians whom Hamas deliberately hides among. Not mentioned at all, was the morality of Hamas repeated deliberate targeting of civilians which is incontrovertable.

Finally, Camera exposes Hamas "Fauxtography" in Gaza.

Friday, January 2, 2009

Clarity On Gaza


Welcome back to Steele Street after a holiday break.

This article from the Washington Post is the clearest expression of my sentiments on the Gaza conflict.

Tuesday, December 23, 2008

Sad News For Jews


The Bernard Madoff scandal has got me thinking on a troubling subject. This morning the New York Times writes of the financial, moral, and religious questions that have arisen at Yeshiva University after they were bilked by Madoff. Madoff was a donor, board member, and recipient of an honorary degree from Yeshiva University. Apparently, Yeshiva was also a major victim of his fraud.

Years ago, I reluctantly came to the conclusion that Jews are no more or less likely to be good or bad people than anyone else. Sadly, there have been Jews rightfully convicted of murders and drug dealing. Furthermore, in my experience, there is no correlation between the righteousness of a Jewish person and their outward observance of Jewish laws. Nor have I seen Jews treat other Jews more honestly than they would treat non-Jews.

Ultimately, these observations are not so troubling. To believe that Jews are more honest, moral, or law abiding than others, would imply that others are less so. I simply don't believe that other religions, races, and cultures are inherently inferior to my own.

I do believe in the lessons of Jewish law. Clearly, Madoff broke as many Jewish laws as he did secular ones. For Jews and non-Jews alike, the struggle will always be to internalize the lessons of their faith, and not just merely be seen to practice their traditions.

Monday, December 22, 2008

Airline Credibility Gap

The two worst managed industries in the United States are the auto industry, and the airline industry. While the auto industry threatens to go bankrupt, bankruptcy is a regular occurrence among airlines large and small.

I would argue that one of the biggest failures in the airline industry today is credibility. People rightfully just don't trust anything an airline says.

Examples include:

1. Lying About Bookings - When booking a flight on United Airlines, the "Economy Plus" section is always shown as "unavailable", with a picture of a person in the seat. Actually, it is available, just not to you, unless you have elite status. They could say that, but that would be too honest, I suppose. People are just led to believe that someone has already take those seats.

2. Lying About Delays - When has an airline ever given consistent or accurate information about the nature of a delay. Airlines frequently give out the "weather" excuse in order to absolve themselves of their contractual duty to provide compensation for mechanical or crew related delays. I would say this is ripe for a class action lawsuit.

3. Lying About Policies - When you call an airline, you are frequently speaking with overseas under trained call centers. These people will tell you anything to get you off the phone, truth be damned.

4. Lying About Costs - The "fuel surcharge" is one of the biggest frauds ever perpetrated on travelers. These surcharges bear little resemblance to airlines costs for fuel at the time of the flight, or the time of purchase. Airlines implemented no small number of surcharges and other fees over the summer that they blamed on record high fuel costs. Very few have disappeared now that oil is at record lows.

5. Little Value Correlation - People flying "full service" carriers like Delta and United, get charged for everything, while people on discount carrier Southwest rarely see any charges.

6. Price Gouging - Airlines love to price gouge. As the day of the flight gets closer, the price jumps by an order of magnitude. Simply put, there is little correlation between the cost of the service and the price charged. It is like a restaurant charging you more, depending on how hungry you are. Americans are surprised to learn that this is often not the case with airlines in other parts of the world, and it is rarely the case with other modes of transport such as buses, trains, and boats.

7. Lying About Customer Service - The image of airline customer service portrayed in their marketing is vastly different than the reality. It is common to see airline personnel treat customers in a manner that would get them fired from even the most shoddy restaurants or hotels. Again, this is rarely the case with foreign carriers.

8. Over Complication - Airlines make the experience of flying unbelievably complicated, often to their own detriment. Do you want to buy a ticket on Frontier? You now have to consult a chart to determine which of three types of fares is best for you, all of which have you sitting in the same seat. Want to standby for an earlier flight, the airlines routinely collect fees for standby , an insane practice that costs airlines the opportunity to fill an empty seat and sell a seat on a later flight. If the later flight is canceled, every empty seat on the earlier flight means one more upset displaced passenger. Finally, the baggage fees have created chaos as everyone is now carrying on the maximum allowed. People fight for overhead space, bags have to be gate checked, and planes are running late. I believe that people want to get from one place to another, not navigate a virtual world of rules and fees that is constantly changing. Worse, the policies obviously cost the airlines money, yet are marketed as revenue enhancing features.

9. Tarmac Strandings - Airline pilots must do everything in coordination with their operations manual, which seeming covers every contingency, except for not having a gate availible. In this situation, airlines throw up their hands and claim there is nothing that they can do. Airstairs, mobile lounges, and buses somehow cease to exist and passengers are trapped for hours on end, yet airlines argue against any rules requiring passenger evacuation in the event of a long term stranding.

10. Bait and Switch Frequent Flier Programs - You know the drill. You save up your miles and attempt to book a flight, only to be told there are no availible seats to multiple destinations over several months. This has been described as an unregulated lottery. No wonder passengers no longer have much loyalty towards their airline, the entire reason for the frequent flier program's existence.

Interesting Details on the Continental Crash in Denver

If you are going to crash an airplane engulfed in flames, it is best to do so right in front of the fire station!

Another interesting link I found is to a passenger who twittered the aftermath of the crash. For those of you who don't know twitter is a service that allows people to blog events via instant messaging. This is believed to be a first. Sadly, Denver, was also the scene of another first, a despicable twitter during a funeral earlier this year.

On a lighter note, the pilots may still brag to their passengers, as I always do when I fly passengers, "I stand by my record; in all my accidents, not a single fatality."

Friday, December 12, 2008

Not So Stunning Sight



This was a brand new Airbus A340-600 airliner that had not even been delivered to it's customer, Etihad Airlines of the middle east. The accident occurred on November 15th, 2007.

The accident report determined that the manufacturer was testing the engines at full throttle without chocking, the aviation term for putting wooden blocks in front of the wheels.

The four engines overcame the brakes and away it went. Needless to say, the aircraft was a complete loss.

Thankfully, no one was killed.

Thursday, December 11, 2008

Stunning Sight

This is the first Northwest 747 coming out of the paint shop in Delta colors.

I believe it has been thirty years since Delta had a 747 in it's fleet.

Wednesday, December 10, 2008

Friedman Catches Up To Steele Street

Today, Tom Friedman of the New York Times writes about the future of the automotive industry, very similar to my blog posting months ago.

Guest Blogging


I recently exchanged guest posts with Brett Snyder over at The Cranky Flier, a fantastic blog about airlines that I have been reading every day for some time now.

You can read my post on his blog here.

It is really cool to have a guest post on a blog that you admire.

In return, Brett, a self proclaimed "airline dork" has written a guest post for the blog I contribute to at AskMrCreditCard.com.

You can read his post here.

Thanks Brett!

Monday, December 8, 2008

Announcing My Latest Blog: Media Quest

My interests are so diverse, it seems logical to create multiple blogs rather than attempt to coalesce all of my aberrant thoughts into one blog stream.

My latest project is to construct a media system for my entire house. My goal is build a system where I can store all my recorded television, movies, pictures, and music on a personal computer, and make them instantly accessible from any room in my house.

What better way to document and discuss this than to create a new blog.

I invite you to follow along on Media Quest as the adventure begins!

Thursday, December 4, 2008

Obama a Huge Disappointment

When Limbaugh praises Hillary and the right wing Washington Times is calling his cabinet appointments conservative, the Republican party has some serious credibility problems. To all the right wingers who thought Obama was "the most liberal senator" who would surrender to terrorists while enacting a left wing economic strategy, I am sure this is a huge a disappointment.

This is no surprise to Obama supporters and other serious observers. The caricature of Obama as a socialist or worse by McCain, Palin, and Fox "News" is so bizarre as to be laughable as we now see the reality:

"I am gobsmacked by these appointments, most of which could just as easily have come from a President McCain." Sen. Mitch McConnell, the Senate minority leader, declared that the Obama administration was "off to a good start."

Tuesday, December 2, 2008

One More Time, With Feeling: How to Rent DVDs For Free


I have had several conversations over the last few days with people, trying to explain to them how they can rent movies for free.

No one believes me.

So I am posting this article again:

One of the themes that has developed in this blog is how to survive without cable TV.

Turns out that renting DVDs is much more enjoyable and cost effective than cable.

So just in case you thought that reading this blog was useless, here is the best tip I know:

Redbox + Promo Codes = Unlimited Free Movies

Note that each code may only be used only once with each of your credit cards, but new codes appear every day.

It turns out that there are several Redbox locations within walking distance of my house.

Of course, I would never, ever use this to make a backup copy of the disc so I could watch it later.

Friday, November 28, 2008

Update: Delta Promo

It turns out that everyone who registered for the big Delta promo will get their bonus SkyMiles, according to the message now displayed at the promo page:

The More Miles You Earn, the Bigger the Bonus

The SkyMiles® multi-partner threshold promotion was in the development phase and not yet formally announced or launched when it was inadvertently published online. The landing page should not have been live and the content was subsequently removed.

However, Delta Air Lines will honor the bonus miles promotion for SkyMiles members who have already enrolled.

Jews of India

In the tragedy of the terrorist attacks on both hotels and a Jewish center in Mumbai, India, it is hard not to ask the question, There are Jews in India?

This article explains further the story of Jews in India.

Thursday, November 27, 2008

Some Amazing Photos

From a photo essay in the Boston Globe.

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

Court Ruling: Obese Given Extra Seat In Canada

A Canadian court has ruled that Canadian airlines must provide obese passengers with an extra seat for free. This has created a lot of controversy, and some pretty strong opinions against this here and here.

Here is my opinion:

This is an outrage. Clearly, people who are overweight are at fault for their condition. The litigant, Ms. McKay-Panos (if that is her real name) "said she was born with Polycystic Ovary Syndrome, a hormonal disorder that causes obesity in about 50 per cent of those afflicted." That means there is a 50% chance it is her fault!

This kind of thing would never happen in America, where the financial health of the airline industry takes precedence over the mere comfort and safety of obese passengers and the people sitting next to them. An airline ticket should only entitle you to one seat, as people should be treated by airlines no different than cargo.

Furthermore, how many so called "disabled" people were crippled due to accidents that they themselves were at least in part to blame for? Why should these freeloaders receive any special treatment? In the era of Roe vs. Wade, we also need to take a more strict look at people who's parents chose to give birth to, despite their genetic conditions, like obesity.

So booo to the Communist Canadians for unfairly interfering with the free market. Never in America would our government become so blatantly involved in the operation of it's corporations, especially when the health, safety, and comfort of it's citizens are involved.

Friday, November 21, 2008

Big Delta Promo, Crash And Burn?

The link I posted yesterday now returns the message:

"We're sorry, this campaign is currently not active"

What does this mean? There seems to be four possibilities for people like me who have already registered:

1. Delta will re-post the promo, likely with some changes.
2. Delta will honor it, but only if you registered before they withdrew it.
3. They will honor the promotion, but only for transactions that occurred before they withdrew it.
4. They will give the middle finger to all of the people who registered. Several people at FlyerTalk have already discussed taking them to court if they do this. Considering how many bloggers have been following this,(here, here, here, and here) , that would rake in tons of bad publicity for Delta.

I hate to say it, but I think your best chance is if you TOOK MY ADVICE AND REGISTERED WHILE YOU COULD!

Update: I was right, if you registered, you will get the miles.

Thursday, November 20, 2008

Huge Delta SkyMiles Giveaway!!!

IMPORTANT!!! You must register for this free promotion here.

Delta just announced an incredible SkyMiles promotion where you can easily rake in a 150% bonus on top of partner activity between now and the end of the year.

Read my report on the subject on my post at AskMrCreditCard.com. After thinking about it for a few minutes, I realized I would be able to get three tickets Israel next year for free.

Big deal? Consider that my wife and I currently have NO SkyMiles whatsoever!

What we do have is some Starwood Preferred Guest points that we got from our Starwood Amercan Express cards. 20,000 Starpoints normally gives you 25,000 SkyMiles, but with this promotion it gives you an additional 150%, or 37,500, for a total of 62,500 SkyMiles. Cash in 80,000 Starpoints (about half of which we have received as sign up bonuses) and we get 250,000 SkyMiles, enough for 3 tickets to Israel, essentially for free!

You can cash in points from hotel programs, or maximize points on rental car programs and other credit card partners such as Dinner's Club. It does not count for Amex Membership Rewards transfers

It does NOT count for travel ON Delta, or any of it's airline partners.

IMPORTANT!!! You must register for this free promotion here.

Win A Free Trip To Denver


It has been a slow blogging week, but here is a great contest prize offered by my friends at the Denver Convention and Visitor's Bureau. Read about it here and sign up here.

See you in Denver!

Thursday, November 13, 2008

Tell Me What You Really Think!

I have been exploring some guest blogging opportunities, in addition to the blog posts that I write here on Steele Street, at PlanetEye, and at AskMrCreditCard.com.

I have decided to encourage all (both?) readers of my blog to submit a guest post on one of the following topics:
  • Politics
  • Travel
  • Humor
  • Consumer Issues
  • News For Jews
  • Aviation
No relevant blog post will be refused, and you are welcome to have either a byline or to write anonymously.

Send your posts to JS (at) JasonSteele.com

Wednesday, November 12, 2008

Ironic Names In The News

When I was living in Atlanta, Georgia actually had a congressman named Pat Swindall. Nevertheless, he was indicted on perjury charges and related to money laundering, and appears to still be breaking the law.

Last week, I was looking at this discussion of Senators up for re-election in 2012. The first one listed caught my eye, Mike Crapo, a Republican from Idaho. OMG, we actually have a Senator Crapo!

Just today, I read this article about phony veteran's trying to fraudulently obtain benefits. Case in point, Randall Moneymaker.

The moral of the story, hide your money around me!

In Praise Of Fox "News"

An informative editorial.

Monday, November 10, 2008

Obama Meets With Unpopular Rogue Head Of State, Without Preconditions!


Thursday, November 6, 2008

Franken Recount


As an election junkie and a Franken fan, I am having great fun watching events unfold in Minneapolis, where Al, a native Minnesotan is in a virtual tie for a US Senate seat.

Al is currently down by only 337 votes out of 2.9 million cast.

While I am no expert in Minnesota politics, I found a great blog at the Minneapolis Star Tribune that is all over this story.

Incidentally, both Franken, and his Republican opponent Norm Coleman are Jewish.

You betcha!

Obama's Diabolical Plan

Joe the Plumber's prediction that " A vote for Obama is a vote for the death of Israel" is being tested.

Step one, the Israeli-American Congressman agrees to be Obama's chief of staff.

Joe was right. It is all coming true!

My Predictions: The Results

On Monday, I offered my predictions: Obama with 367 electoral votes.As it turns out, I was really close:
I had Missouri and Indiana reversed. It did not effect my electoral vote predictions as they both have 11.

I predicted 367 Electoral votes, but Obama came up short with "only" 364. He just didn't pick up another western state like I thought he would, although it was very close in Montana.

Update: It looks like Obama picked up one Electoral College vote in Nebraska, so the total is 365, two off of my prediction.

Republicans Still Don't Get It

I was listening to a local radio station, a Fox "News" affiliate, as they were recounting tales McCain advisers slamming Palin.

The question they had was put this way: "Is it the fault of the press for criticizing Palin, or is it McCain's adviser's fault for releasing all of those negative stories about her?"

Unmentioned was a the third option, that it is McCain's fault for nominating an unqualified, un-vetted, moron in the first place.

Moron is a harsh word, but appropriate, as today we learn, from Fox "News" themselves, that she didn't even know that Africa was a continent, not a country!

The True Barrier That Has Been Broken

This electoral victory has been so amazing, it is hard to contain my emotions. I never thought this would happen in my lifetime. At first, it seemed impossible, now, I can't believe it really happened.

For generations, my people have struggled to make it in this country. On Tuesday, November 4th, 2008, a true barrier has been broken. This is the first time that a person of my color, Blue and Gold, has been elected to national office.

Oh, and some black guy is president.

Wednesday, November 5, 2008

McCain's Concession

First, I was struck with the eloquent delivery of his speech. I immediately noticed how he failed to misspeak and correct himself as did multiple times per sentence throughout the entire campaign. One theory is that he was no longer under under any pressure. More likely, he was never really comfortable as the angry old man he was trying to be during the campaign.

While McCain took pains to point out that Obama's victory holds special significance for African Americans, I realized that his statement was the final proof that McCain never understood Obama. Obama's entire campaign, if not his life story, has been his quest not to be seen in racial terms. My hunch is that Obama found McCain's compliment aloof and condescending.

Many found his concession to be gracious or magnanimous, and it was, but the crowd was always there to remind us of McCain's dishonorable campaign. McCain can be likable, as we saw last night, but not when he is perpetually summoning up the worst in people. For months McCain and Palin traveled across the country, calling a black man a liar and a socialist who hangs out with terrorists. Their entire theme, "Country First" was deliberately designed to portrait Obama as a foreigner and a traitor. This campaign of fear, division, and racism culminated with the notion that middle class tax cuts are actually welfare; Obama is going to redistribute the wealth from people like Joe the Plumber to welfare recipients.

In defeat, McCain's effort to summon the worst in his supporters embarrased him in front of the world. How appropriate.

Ultimately, it was McCain's negativity that lost him the race. He was offering nothing other than being anti-Obama. If I were advising McCain, I would have had him compliment Obama on his speaking skills and portrait him as inexperienced. No one could argue that Obama has more experience than McCain, but he threw that argument away after the disastrous Palin pick.

Barack And The Jews

Three pieces of news struck me today:

1. For all of the Republican talk about Obama's tenuous "association" with Ayers (how did that work out for McCain?), few people have examined his exponentially stronger association with Abner Mikva. Money quote: "Barack will be the first Jewish president in the US."

2. The Jerusalem Post is also reporting that Obama won 78% of the Jewish vote. That is more than Kerry, and approximately the same as Gore.

3. Finally, it looks as if Obama has offered Israeli American Congressman Rahm Emanuel the position of chief of staff, a possibility I mentioned here a few days ago.

Eviction Notice

OBAMA ROLLS

Goodbye "Joe The Plumber," Hello Ann Nixon Cooper

Her story here.

Joe Wurzelbacher goes the way of Clara Peller while Sarah Palin is the new Geraldine Ferraro.

What a glorious day!

Non-Presidential Races: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly

The Good:

1. Colorado has become SOLID BLUE! A victory for Obama, a victory for Mark Udall, now one of our two Democratic Senators, and now 5 of our 7 congressional seats are Democratic. At the state level, our Governor is a Democrate and both the State House and Senate remain Democratically controlled.

2. In the House, Colorado's extreme right wing ideologue Marylin Musgrave lost her seat to Democrat Betsy Markey. Democrat Jared Polis of Colorado became the first openly gay member of congress ever elected to a first term.

3. Colorado's "personhood amendment," defining a fertilized egg as human, was defeated in a landslide.

The Bad:

1. Two of my favorite Jewish House candidates, Ethan Berkowitz of Alaska, and El Tinkelberg of Minnesota, appear to have both lost. Tinkleberg was running against Republican Michelle "McCarthy" Bachman. Berkowitz was running against uber-corrupt Republican Don Young.

2. Prop 8 in California appears to be winning. This would strip marriage rights from same sex couples. It is truly sad that Californians may have voted to deny civil rights to so many.

The Ugly:

1. Alaska, (what is it with those people) may have voted to re-elect Ted Stevens, a convicted felon to the Senate. No word yet if Caribou Barbie will appoint her hairdresser to his Senate seat when he is either forced to resign or expelled.

2. In Georgia, several thousand ballots appear to be missing from the Chambliss-Martin Senate race. As of this morning, election officials appear totally lost and confused. What an embarrasment.

3. In Minnesota, Al Franken and Norm Coleman are only a few hundred votes appart, yet in true Bushie style, Coleman is declaring victory while a mandatory recount is pending.

4. In Oregon, where they vote 100% mail in ballots, we still don't know who won their Senate seat, Merkely or Smith. As of this morning, they are reporting only 75% of their precincts. What is the point of early, mail in balloting if you can't count the votes in a reasonable amount of time>

Ladies And Gentleman....

The President of The United States!

Tuesday, November 4, 2008

The Jews Control The World!

Not quite, but we are poised to make significant gains in congress.

Get this, Ethan Berkowitz, a Jewish Democrat is favored to win the congressional seat, in Alaska!

The Mile High Perspective

The Latest:

"This year's election will see the largest voter turnout in Colorado state history.

Already, 64.6 percent of all active voters in Colorado have turned in their ballot"

Remember, all Obama needs to do is win the Kerry states, plus Iowa and Colorado, and he is President.






Monday, November 3, 2008

Palin Lies Again, Shocks Nobody

Looks like she will not release any medical details, as she promised to.

Thankfully, just over 24 hours until she enters the dustbin of history.

My Predictions about The Future

"Predictions are very difficult, especially about the future"- Yogi Berra

I have read a million polls, although my favorites are at FiveThiryEight.com and at Pollster.com.

I have also read a lot of information about the so called "Bradley Effect" and have heard several second hand stories of openly racist people who be voting for Obama.

It is the early voting evidence that has made the most impression on me. I went to bed last night thinking about which states to call for Obama, and I just didn't think North Carolina would go his way. This morning, I heard that 2.5 million people there had already voted! This is an astonishing number that represents twice the amount of early voters in 2004 and 40% of all registered voters in the state! This leads me to believe that the "likely voter" models may be way off in states with a high percentage of African Americans.

I noted during the primaries, that voters have three choices, the two major parties, and simply not to vote. Sadly, the choice not to vote has been more popular than either major party candidate.

Once you see this as a three way race, tomorrow's results will be easier to understand. The results will be dictated by "unlikely voters" that actually turn out. Obama has a huge advantage in both voter registration and enthusiasm. These are the key factors that permit "unlikely voters" to materialize in early voting and on election day.

In the past, Bush had an advantage in these measures, which showed up in a lead for him in early voting in the last two elections. This year, by all accounts, early voting is strongly on the side of Obama.

That said, here are my predictions:

I expect to be talking about a 9 point Obama victory Wednesday morning. I give Obama the toss up states with heavy early voting, such as North Carolina, Florida, and Ohio. I just can't give him Georgia or Indiana yet, although my hunch is we won't know till late Wednesday or even later. Georgia has had huge early voting, and a large African American population, yet Obama has almost always trailed. Missouri lacks early voting, but does have a significant African American population. Furthermore, the polls show Obama leading, so I gave it to him. I did give Obama North Dakota, which is kind of a stand in for several small states like Montana, South Dakota, and Nebraska where there are few polls and a good chance of a surprise.

That said, I welcome your predictions. Please feel free to leave comments.

Friday, October 31, 2008

My God, What a MORON!

Palin now says that the press criticizing her is now a violation of HER first amendment rights!

This is the person constantly criticizing Obama, a former professor of Constitutional law at University of Chicago.

The Funniest Thing I Have Read All Day

Hear Me, Barack Obama Supporters! Here's How To Stay Sane Until Election Day

From one of the writers for the Simpsons.

Obama And The Jews

Great article today at The New Republic about how Obama captured the majority of the Jewish vote.

Money Quotes:


"...it would be hard to overestimate the role that Sarah Palin has played in bringing the Jewish vote solidly behind Obama."

"Dov Hikind, the unusual New York State Assemblyman, broke with the Democrats to endorse McCain. But he gets tripped up when queried about Palin. He criticizes Obama for lacking experience, before explaining that, when it comes to Palin, "Experience should not be an issue in this campaign." The Palin selection cut against McCain's best argument, and the consequences for the Jewish vote--as, of course, for the vote in general--have been clear."

Wow, who could have predicted that?
In other news, Obama is strongly considering the Israeli American congressman from Illinois, Rahm Emanual for the position of Chief of Staff.

Finally,

"John McCain's choice of Sarah Palin as running mate is the towering example of his poor judgment. Palin's ignorance of public affairs is monumental. Especially disturbing to the Jewish voter should be her willing acceptance of the campaign assignment of demagogy, which has stirred up racism and hate..... McCain's choice of Palin was a bid to the extremists in the Republican party, not the considered choice of a man who puts his country first." (emphasis mine)

-Edgar M. Bronfman, former president of the World Jewish Congress.

And Now For Something Completely Non-Political


My neighborhood, Park Hill in Denver, was just named one of the 10 Great Neighborhoods in the United States. I have to say I was not surprised when I found this list at the Gadling travel blog.

The article points out my neighborhood's proximity to downtown and it's connection to public transit. These are important factors as there is a fundamental shift going on in how people consume energy and where they choose to live.

See the rest of the list here.


Thursday, October 30, 2008

Will Hits Another Home Run

He had me from his first sentence today: "From the invasion of Iraq to the selection of Sarah Palin, carelessness has characterized recent episodes of faux conservatism. "

Talk about intellectual honesty!

I swear he must read this blog.

Tuesday, October 28, 2008

The Truth About ACORN


Some on the right have raised the specter of a conspiracy. McCain himself has said that ACORN "is now on the verge of maybe perpetrating one of the greatest frauds in voter history in this country, maybe destroying the fabric of democracy."

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. exposes the truth.
The post is long, but worth the read.

Money quotes:

"Federal laws make it a felony for voter registration groups like ACORN to discard registrations even when it believes them fraudulent. So ACORN flagged the forms it considered doubtful and handed them in to the registry. Ironically, it was those flagged forms -- the fruits of ACORN's diligence -- that have been flogged by Republicans as their best evidence of widespread election fraud."

"David Iglesias of New Mexico,
[a McCain supporter], was one of seven U.S. Attorneys fired by the White House for their refusal to bring voter fraud prosecutions. "We took over 100 complaints," from the GOP, he told us, "We investigated for almost 2 years, I didn't find one prosecutable voter fraud case in the entire state of New Mexico."

Perhaps this is why McCain himself attended an ACORN sponsored event and said they "are what makes America special."

Palin And Israel, 5 Questions


I just read this article in the Jerusalem post.

I hope the author knows that he will never get an answer, as Sarah Palin has conducted four interviews with right wing nutcase Sean Hannity, but not a single press conference.

Monday, October 27, 2008

Guilty On All Counts!

Republican Senator Ted "series of tubes" Stevens of Alaska found guilty on 7 counts of corruption, faces 35 years in jail.

I guess his definition of a gift did not fly.

Two questions:

1. Will they rename Ted Steven International Airport in Anchorage?

2. When will they tell Sarah Palin what a gift is?

Sanity Prevails In Georgia

I read this article this morning about voter purges in Georgia and I was very depressed. It hit home because it specifically mentioned a voter in Fulton County, where I once lived and most of my family still resides.

Thankfully, I later read in this article that the purge has been overturned.

Georgia is going to come down to the wire in the presidential race and the Senate. That is why Republican voter suppression is in full swing.



How McCain Lost


The biggest flaw in McCain's campaign is not only that it has been virtually all negative, but that it is all been based on fear, innuendo, and the premise that Obama must be a liar.

Think about it. All of the major arguments McCain makes against Obama presume he is a liar. He "palls around with terrorists" when he says he does not, he is a socialist, when he espouses nothing of the sort, and he will raise taxes on everyone, when his proposals clearly say otherwise. These are merely the official attacks brought directly by McCain and Palin themselves, not the ones brought by Fox news and other third party McCain supporters.

By contrast, the case against McCain is based on the assumption that he actually will do what he says he will. He says will not negotiate with Iran. He says he will tax health care benefits. His health insurance tax credit is only $2,500 per person. He supports the continuation of the Bush tax cuts. He supports the vast majority of Bush's policies including social security privatization. All of these are McCain's policies that he has clearly articulated.

I attended both the Obama rally in Denver yesterday as well as his acceptance speech here in August. I spoke with many people, but I never heard a single negative thing said by about McCain. I saw no anti-McCain signs or t-shirts. Obama and other speakers talked briefly about McCain's policies, but no one attacked his honesty or integrity. Needless to say, McCain's events are entirely different.

McCain's attacks that simply dismiss Obama's stated positions as false are not working. It is astonishing to read Obama's positions and McCain's attacks side by side.

It now seems like the majority of independent voters trust Obama and are confident in his temperament. McCain will blame the financial crisis for his defeat, but I think that his problem was that people believed what McCain said about himself, and not what he said about Obama

Sunday, October 26, 2008

Intellectual Honesty

I made a reference in my post a couple days ago about intellectual honesty. To me, intellectual honesty in a political context is recognizing your values and beliefs in any candidate regardless of their party.

For example:

I like McCain's idea of a league of democracies, an idea that I had been thinking about for some time before McCain mentioned it. I also agree with McCain on the need for more nuclear power.

I agree with Bush's vision for space exploration, and I only wish he pursued it more aggressively. I like how Bush refers to the boundaries of Israel prior to 1967 as the 1949 armistice lines, rather than as a fictitious "pre-1967 border" that none of it's neighbor's recognized. I even liked Bush's idea, but not his implementation of, the Iraq war, in the way I like the idea of cardiac surgery, but I don't think I would like the results if Bush (or myself) was the surgeon.

I disagree with Obama's support of "clean coal technology," which presupposes it's existence. I object to Obama's promise to accept federal election funding, and then not taking it. He should have never made the promise to begin with. I also disagree with Obama's pledge to continue Bush's "faith based initiatives".

Under Bush, Republicanism and conservatism are a philisophical contradiction. It seems that conservatives and Republicans are now two distinct groups, with a significant number of each supporting Obama.

One can make a very good case against Obama that is both consistent and intellectually honest. The cornerstone of that case would be Obama's comparative lack of experience and perhaps his judgment. Yet, within minutes of Palin's selection, I noted how McCain had lost all claim to intellectual honesty and good judgment. You just can't say with a straight face that Obama is unqualified yet Palin somehow is. Worse, you can't claim that McCain is more qualified than Obama when with Palin on the ticket.

Several conservative commentators have recognized the fact that Palin is wholly unqualified to be President, yet the majority of Republicans and conservatives have refused to publicly renounce her like they did Harriet Myers. The ones that have recognized this fact, like George Will, are being intellectually honest, the rest are just partisan hacks.

Obama In Denver Today

I saw Barack Obama speak in Denver this morning. Here is the Denver Post's picture of the event, followed by my pictures.


Here was the view from where I stood, about half way between the City Hall and the State Capitol.

This is the best close up my pocket camera could get.


These were the crowds behind me. The police estimated 100,000 people were there.

Friday, October 24, 2008

A Unanamous Lie: This Election Is Going To Be Really Close


There are three parties on television who are talking non-stop about the election, the Obama campaign, the McCain campaign, and the media commentators. They are all expressing the same opinion, Obama is ahead, but not by much, so it could go either way.

Yeah right, that's what I am seeing in this chart:



All three are lying. Here is why:

Obviously, the Republicans are still hoping for a miracle of some sorts. Admitting McCain has no chance would also hurt their donations and further hurt the Republicans in congressional races who still have a prayer.

The Obama campaign knows that turnout is the key to victory. If everyone thinks that they have an 8.5 point lead, and a 96% chance of winning, then they will loose a lot of voters who think that the race is already over. This will endanger their prospects if the race tightens, and cut down on the Democratic gains in congress.

Finally, the media has become addicted to the high ratings generated by the last two incredibly close elections. They are still refusing to admit that Obama has enough states to win the electoral college. For example, look at the CNN map. Incredibly, they claim that Colorado is a tossup. Look at the polls:




Obama has been ahead all year long, and his lead has grown steadily the last month, during which time not a single poll has ever shown McCain with a lead. On the other hand, several polls in Indiana, Montana, and North Dakota have shown Obama with a lead, yet CNN claims they are still "leaning McCain". I can't even buy their argument that Florida, Ohio, and Missouri are "toss ups" as Obama is currently holding a clear lead in the vast majority of polls this month.

Of course, it isn't over until it is over, and it is still important that everybody votes, but it is funny to watch everyone on TV struggle to say how close this race is.

Bush's Spokesman and McCain's Advisor for Obama

Reagan Appointee and (Recent) McCain Adviser Charles Fried Supports Obama, and former Bush White House Press Secretary Scott McClellan Endorses Obama. Throw in a couple former Republican Governors for Obama, Bill Weld of Massachusetts and Arne Carlson of Minnesota, and it looks like McCain's ship is sinking fast.

While not as prominent as Colin Powell, these people are more closely aligned with the core of the Republican establishment, at least the ones with a shred of intellectual honesty remaining.

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Socialism

"We feel that wealthy people can afford more.....here is what I really believe, when you reach a certain level of comfort, there is nothing wrong with paying a little more"

Guess who said that?



"There is nothing wrong with examining what our tax structure is or who should be paying more, who should be paying less. And for us to say that that makes you a socialist, I think is an unfortunate characterization that isn't accurate."

-Colin Powell

We Voted!

On Tuesday, October 21st, my wife and I voted for change, not more of the same.

Reality Check:

Tuesday, October 21, 2008

When A Is Gift Not A Gift

Alaska is now the new frontier for political humor in our country, and I am not just talking about Caribou Barbie.

Take the current federal trial of Alaska Senator For Life Ted Stevens. Consider the $2,695 vibrating Shiatsu massage lounger he receive from an oil company executive. According to Ted, a gift is not a gift if:

1. You don't like it.
2. You claim you have been just borrowing the brand new item from it's actual owner for the last seven years.
3. You intended to pay for it, yet somehow you never got the bill.

I love it! When I join congress, I intend to "borrow" all sorts of things from my supporters. I will probably find some fault with them (I don't like the texture of the leather seats in the jet), and they might just "forget" to send me the bill, so I am off the hook!

Thanks Ted! 60 seats in the Senate, here we come.

Monday, October 20, 2008

Enthusiasm Gap

On Saturday, Obama went to St. Louis, Missouri where 100,000 people saw him speak.

On Monday, McCain landed in Columbia, Missouri, where there was a "crowd" of 15 people.

Actually, it appears some of them were not even there to see McCain:

"Florence Phillips was dropping off her daughter at the airport when another of her daughters, Cheryl Daubin, told her McCain was landing."

If McCain Ran As A Democrat...

The Republican nominee would be campaigning on the platform of:

McCain was not born the United States!

The Republican nominee would run ads featuring the propaganda footage the Viet Cong shot staring McCain.

Republicans would openly be attacking McCain's service record and whispering that he was secretly brainwashed in Vietnam.

The religious right would be beside themselves that McCain was divorced and that cheated on his first wife.

John Hagee would be household name.